First-time home buyers reached the highest market share on record during the past year, according to the latest consumer survey of home buyers and sellers. The study was released here today at the 2009 REALTORS® Conference & Expo.

The 2009 National Association of Realtors® Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers is the latest in a series of large national NAR surveys evaluating demographics, preferences, marketing and experiences of recent home buyers and sellers. Among national surveys, NAR’s Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers is unprecedented in size and scope.

Paul Bishop, NAR vice president of research, said several factors have been at play. “Tax incentives, record high affordability conditions and a pent-up demand brought a record share of first-time home buyers into the market,” he said. “These buyers are critical to housing and a general economic recovery because the market always heals from the bottom up – they absorb inventory, free existing owners to make a trade and stimulate related goods and services.”

The number of first-time home buyers rose to 47 percent of all home sales from 41 percent of transactions in last year’s study, and was the highest on record dating back to 1981. The previous high was 44 percent in 1991. “It’s interesting to note the last cyclical peak of first-time home buyers was during the last noteworthy economic downturn, with first-time buyers starting the chain reaction that led the nation out of recession,” Bishop said.

The profile shows the median age of first-time buyers was 30 and the median income was $61,600. The typical first-time buyer purchased a home costing $156,000, down from $165,000 in the 2008 study, and plans to stay in that home for 10 years.

Fifty-five percent of entry level buyers reported they financed their purchase with an FHA loan, while another 8 percent used the VA loan program.

First-time buyers who made a downpayment used a variety of sources: 61 percent used savings and 22 percent received a gift from a friend or relative, typically from their parents. Six percent received a loan from a relative or friend, 6 percent tapped into a 401(k) fund, and 6 percent sold stocks or bonds. Ninety-six percent chose a fixed-rate mortgage.

First-time buyers often make financial sacrifices to purchase a home: 39 percent cut spending on luxury items, 38 percent cut back on entertainment and 30 percent cut spending on clothes.

Only 12 percent said financing their first home was more difficult than expected, but 13 percent of successful buyers said they had experienced a purchase agreement that was canceled, terminated or fell through; and 8 percent had been rejected by a lender. “This raises the question of how many potential buyers were unsuccessful because of problems with appraisals or loan qualifications,” Bishop said. “The market would be even stronger without these problems.”

NAR 2009 President Charles McMillan, a broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Dallas-Fort Worth, said NAR pushed hard to extend and expand the home buyer tax credit though the middle of 2010. “Some people were taking a housing recovery for granted, but we must acknowledge the abnormal situation from toxic loans that will keep foreclosures coming into the market over the coming year,” he said. “To help stem foreclosures we must first stabilize home prices, and the expansion of tax incentives should absorb enough inventory to restore balance. As the leading advocate for homeownership, NAR commends Congress for extending and expanding the tax credit because placing financially qualified buyers into affordable homes is the soundest way to heal our economy as fast as possible.”

Buyers searched a median of 12 weeks and viewed 12 homes. Among buyers who used an agent, 63 percent selected a buyer’s representative. Eighty-seven percent consider their home a good investment, and more than half see it as a better investment than stocks. Twelve percent of buyers own two homes, while another three percent own three or more homes.

The typical repeat buyer was 48 years old, earned $88,100, purchased a home costing $224,500 and plans to stay in that home for 12 years.

The median downpayment of all home buyers was 8 percent, and the number purchasing with no money down fell from 23 percent in 2008 to 15 percent in the current survey; 8 percent of buyers paid all cash for their home.

The median age of home sellers was 46 and their income was $91,100. Typical sellers had been in their home for seven years, up from six years in the 2008 survey, moved a median distance of 19 miles, and their home was on the market for 10 weeks. Nearly half traded up in size, 30 percent bought a comparable home and 22 percent traded down.

Eighty-five percent of sellers used a real estate professional, and 64 percent of sellers chose their agent based on a referral or had used the same agent in the past. Eighty-one percent of sellers are likely to use the same agent again or recommend to others.

Forty-two percent of sellers offered incentives to attract buyers, such as home warranties or assistance with closing costs. The typical home sold for 95 percent of the listing price, with a median increase over the seller’s original purchase price of $36,000. “Even with price declines in recent years, the typical home seller saw their equity increase 27 percent,” McMillan said.

Of sellers working with real estate agents, the study found that 80 percent used full-service brokerage, in which agents provide a range of services that include managing most of the process of selling a home from listing to closing. Nine percent of sellers chose limited services, which may include discount brokerage, and 11 percent used minimal service, such as simply listing a property on a multiple listing service.

All of these types of services are provided by Realtors as well as non-member agents and brokers, with comparable findings for each year since questions about brokerage services were added in 2006. Less than 1 percent of sellers chose an agent based on his or her commission.

Sellers largely want agents to price their home competitively, find a buyer, market the property and sell within a specific timeframe. Reputation was the most important factor in choosing an agent, cited by 36 percent of respondents, followed by trustworthiness at 21 percent.

Home buyers thought the most important services agents offer are helping find the right house, and negotiating sales terms and price. The most commonly cited benefits of using an agent are helping buyers understand the process, pointing out unnoticed features or faults, negotiating better contract terms, and providing a better list of service providers. Comparable to sellers, buyers chose agents based on a referral or had used them in a previous transaction, with trustworthiness and reputation being the biggest factors in selecting an agent.

Buyers use a wide variety of resources in searching for a home: 90 percent use the Internet, 87 percent rely on real estate agents, 59 percent yard signs, 46 percent attend open houses and 40 percent look at print or newspaper ads. Although buyers also use other resources, they generally start the search process online and then contact an agent.

When asked where they first learned about the home purchased, 36 percent of buyers said a real estate agent; 36 percent the Internet; 12 percent from yard signs; 6 percent from a friend, neighbor or relative; 5 percent home builders; 2 percent a print or newspaper ad; 2 percent directly from the seller; and less than 1 percent a home book or magazine.

Eight out of 10 home buyers who used the Internet to search for a home purchased through a real estate agent, in contrast with 63 percent of non-Internet users who were more likely to purchase directly from a builder or from an owner they already knew in a private transaction.

Local metropolitan multiple listing service Web sites were the most popular Internet resource, used by 60 percent of buyers; followed by Realtor.com and real estate company sites, each with 46 percent; real estate agent Web sites, 45 percent; other Web sites with real estate listings, 30 percent; for-sale-by-owner sites, 17 percent; and local newspaper sites, 9 percent; other categories were smaller.

Sixty percent of buyers are married couples, 21 percent are single women, 10 percent single men, 8 percent unmarried couples and 1 percent other. Fifteen percent are non-white, 9 percent were born outside of the United States, and 4 percent primarily speak a language other than English.

Seventy-eight percent of all respondents purchased a detached single-family home, 9 percent a condo, 8 percent a townhouse or rowhouse, and 5 percent some other kind of housing. Environmentally friendly features remain a significant factor: 88 percent of buyers said that heating and cooling costs were important, 72 percent desired energy efficient appliances, and 69 percent wanted energy efficient lighting.

Commuting costs continue to factor greatly in neighborhood selection, with 36 percent of buyers saying they were very important and another 42 percent saying transportation costs were somewhat important.

Fifty-four percent of all homes purchased were in a suburb or subdivision, 18 percent were in an urban area, 17 percent in a small town, 10 percent in a rural area and 1 percent in a resort or recreation area. The median distance from the previous residence was 12 miles. The typical home size was 1,800 square feet, ranging from 1,600 for first-time buyers to 2,100 square feet for repeat buyers.

The biggest factors influencing neighborhood choice were quality of the neighborhood, cited by 64 percent of respondents; convenience to jobs, 50 percent; overall affordability of homes, 43 percent; and convenience to family and friends, 37 percent. Other factors with relatively high responses include quality of the school district, 26 percent; convenience to shopping, 26 percent; neighborhood design, 23 percent; and convenience to schools, 21 percent.

The difficulty of for-sale-by-owner transactions increased with challenging market conditions over the past year. The level of FSBOs was a record low 11 percent, down from 13 percent in 2008. The share of homes sold without professional representation has trended down since reaching a cyclical peak of 18 percent in 1997.

Many of these properties were not placed on the open market – 42 percent were “closely held” between parties who knew each other in advance, such as family or acquaintances. Factoring out properties that were not placed on the open market, the actual number of homes sold without professional assistance was a record low 6 percent – the rest were unrepresented sellers in private transactions. The market share of open-market FSBOs is nearly half of what it was five years ago – 10 percent were sold on the open market in 2004.

The median home price for sellers who used an agent was $215,000 vs. $172,000 for a home sold directly by an owner, but there were important differences. The median income of unassisted sellers was $76,900, in contrast with $94,200 for agent-assisted sellers, and the homes were more likely to be in a rural area. Unassisted sellers also were more likely to be selling a mobile or manufactured home. These factors suggest a somewhat lower value for FSBO properties.

The most difficult tasks reported by unrepresented sellers are preparing and fixing the home for sale, getting the right price, understanding and performing paperwork, and selling within the planned length of time.

-National Association of Realtors

www.KarenStephens-RealEstate.com

 

Last Five Months Register Year-Over-Year Pricing Increases

Memphis-area home sales ended 2009 relatively strong, with 1,158 sales recorded in the Memphis Area Association of REALTORS® MAARdata property records database, a 1 percent increase from November and down slightly from December 2008. Overall pricing continued to be strong, with December recording a 5.5 percent increase from November and marking the fifth month of year-over-year increases in average sales price. December pending sales were 1,384, down 6.7 percent from the 1,483 recorded in November but up 5.6 percent from December 2008. Inventory stood at 8,771 units listed for sale, the lowest level since December 2005. There were 15,186 total sales recorded in 2009, down 12.4 percent from the 17,328 sales registered in 2008. For all of 2009, average sales price was down 5.3 percent from 2008.

                                                           December Comparison

                                                   2009                        2008                      % Change

Total Home Sales                     1,158                      1,169                        -0.9%

Median Sales Price                 $94,500                  $82,000                    15.2%

Average Sales Price                $132,154               $129,251                   2.2%

Monthly Sales Volume            $153 million          $151.1 million              1.3%

                                     Full Year Comparison

                                                   2009                        2008                      % Change

Total Home Sales                    15,186                      17,328                      -12.4%

Median Sales Price                 $96,500                   $99,000                      -2.5%

Average Sales Price                $127,803                $134,974                     -5.3%

Sales Volume                         $1.94 billion             $2.34 billion                   -17%      

Historical home sales statistics are located at www.maar.org/media/stats.asp.

“Although sales levels were down in 2009, pricing continued to show strength in the second half of the year,” said MAAR President Glenn A. Moore. “With inventory now at levels not seen since 2005 and the home buyer tax credit in place, we should see continued strength in our market as we continue through the first months of 2010.”

-Scott Sherrin, Memphis Area Association of Realtors

www.KarenStephens-RealEstate.com

The Memphis metropolitan area had the 45th highest foreclosure rate among 203 metro areas in 2009, according to RealtyTrac Inc.’s 2009 Metropolitan Foreclosure Market Report.

For the year there were 15,334 properties with a foreclosure filing in the eight-county metropolitan area. That was one filing — either a default, notice of trustee sale or notice of foreclosure sale — for every 36 housing units in the area.

The ratio was down 11 percent from 2008, but up 36 percent from 2007.

Nationwide, there were 2.82 million properties, or one in every 45 housing units, with a foreclosure filing in 2009. That was up 21 percent from 2008 and 120 percent from 2007, RealtyTrac said.

Las Vegas was No. 1 on the report with 94,862 properties with filings, or one in every eight housing units.

At the bottom of the list, at 203, was Burlington, Vt., with just 45 properties with filings, or one in every 1,972 housing units.

California accounted for nine of the top 20 metro foreclosure rates, followed by Florida with eight, Nevada with two and Arizona with one.

“While it was expected that cities from states with the highest levels of foreclosure activity would top the charts, there is evidence that we’re entering a new wave of foreclosures, driven more by unemployment and economic hardship than what we’ve seen over the past few years,” RealtyTrac’s CEO James Saccacio said in a release.

-Memphis Business Journal

www.KarenStephens-RealEstate.com

Contracts awarded for future residential construction in Tennessee increased in December when compared with one year ago, according to data released Monday by New York-based McGraw-Hill Construction.

According to McGraw-Hill, $221.7 million was awarded, a 20 percent increase over the $184.4 million in contracts awarded in December 2008. The other Tennessee sectors studied by McGraw-Hill — nonresidential and nonbuilding (streets, sewers, etc.) — were both down year over year, with nonresidential construction dropping off 14 percent, to $167.3 million, and nonbuilding construction dropping 19 percent, to $166.4 million.

Overall, 2009’s total contracts were down a combined 43 percent, dropping to $7.3 billion compared to $12.9 billion. Contracts for nonresidential construction in Tennessee were down 41 percent, residential construction was down 22 percent and nonbuilding construction was down 63 percent.

Eric Snyder-Memphis Business Journal

www.KarenStephens-RealEstate.com

Jan

22

The REALTORS® Relief Foundation of the National Association of Realtors® is contributing $550,000 to the relief of victims of the Haiti earthquake, and is calling upon its 1.2 million members to help.

“Realtors® help build communities and there is no better time than now to do that in Haiti,” said NAR President Vicki Cox Golder, owner of Vicki L. Cox & Associates in Tucson, Ariz. “Our thoughts and feelings go out to the people made homeless by this disaster. Realtors® have a history of helping people, as we did after the 2004 tsunami struck South Asia and in 2005 when Hurricane Katrina ravaged New Orleans and the Gulf Coast.”

The Foundation is donating $500,000 to the Clinton Bush Haiti Fund which is supporting earthquake recovery efforts with immediate relief and long-term support to earthquake survivors. The fund is headed by former U.S. Presidents Bill Clinton and George W. Bush.

A $50,000 contribution has already been made to The Harvest of Haiti, founded by a 2007 winner of REALTOR® Magazine’s Good Neighbor Awards, Patrick Moore. Moore’s humanitarian outreach program in Haiti supports orphans, delivers clean water and provides medical care to more than 3,500 people a year.

Moore, a sales associate with JoAnn Wine & Associates in Fort Gratiot, Mich., is currently planning his 64th trip to Haiti on January 29. While in Haiti, Moore and his team will deliver six month’s worth of food to an orphanage in Anse Rouge as well as focus on helping residents in communities in and around Port-au-Prince.

Part of the funding came from Lowe’s, a partner of NAR’s REALTOR® Benefits Program, who contributed $100,000 that was matched by NAR. Lowe’s is a sponsor of the Good Neighbor Awards.

Realtors® are being encouraged to donate to Haitian victims through the REALTORS® Relief Foundation. All contributions will flow through the Foundation, and no Foundation money will go to NAR administrative costs. NAR members and others who wish to make a donation should go to www.realtor.org/relief and complete the contribution form.

After a dour year where housing prices fell more than 12% nationwide, will 2010 bring sunnier tidings?

The five areas that Moody’s foresees home prices performing best in 2010 are: Tacoma, Wash., (an increase of 2.44%); Memphis, Tenn., (up 0.99%); Pittsburgh (up 0.89%); Charleston, S.C.(up 0.18%); and Seattle, Wa., (decline of 0.50%). (These five markets are culled from data on Moody’s Economy.com and based on the largest 100 metro areas.) 

Yes, there have been pieces of good news over the past few months that have indicated a quiet, slow bottoming of real estate prices. For instance, sales of existing homes rose 7.4% in November from the previous month, the highest rate since February 2007, according to data from the National Association of Realtors. The tax incentives for home buyers passed earlier this year along with historically low interest rates have no doubt nudged many buyers into the market.

Yet a recovery depends on several factors. At the top of the list is a turnaround in the labor market. More people going back to work will have a beneficial effect on household income and consumer confidence and would stabilize the housing market, says Stuart Gabriel, director of UCLA’s Ziman Center for Real Estate. As of November, one of out every 10 American workers is unemployed, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. And while that’s down slightly from October, Moody’s expects the jobless rate to peak in the third quarter next year at 10.6%.

As for Memphis, the city’s largest employer is FedEx . Transportation services is one of the early industries to turn around as the economy recovers, says Cochrane, and that should support the area’s housing market.

Source: Lisa Scherzer, SmartMoney.com

www.KarenStephens-RealEstate.com

The weather in Memphis has been unusually cold lately and it seems like it will only be getting colder through the weekend.  We are under a wind chill advisory through Sunday with low temperatures in the single digits and wind chills below zero.  Here are some tips from MLGW on how to protect your home and family in these freezing temperatures:

 According to MLG&W, any time the temperature nears the 20 degree mark, there is a chance of pipes freezing and bursting.  In addition to freezing pipes, the cold weather brings other household risks including space heater fires and carbon monoxide leaks. To protect your home and your family, the utility company recommends the following precautions:

  • Turn on inside faucets so that they have a slow but steady drip.
  • Open cabinet doors so that the pipes are exposed to the warm air in the house.
  • Keep space heaters away from other objects (e.g. furniture, curtains, clothing, etc.).
  • Never let space heaters run at night when everyone is asleep.
  • Purchase and install carbon monoxide detectors in your home.
  • Be aware of the symptoms of carbon monoxide poisoning including fatigue, headache, dizziness, nausea, and fuzzy thinking.
  • To save money on your utility bill, try to keep the thermostat set to 68 degrees.

Memphis-area home sales showed their first year-over-year improvement in November with 1,147 sales recorded in the Memphis Area Association of REALTORS® MAARdata property records database, an 8.1 percent increase from November 2008. Sales were down from their gains in October, however, declining 15 percent. Overall pricing continued to show year-over-year improvement, with both November average and median sales price up from November 2008. Pending sales were 1,483, down 15.3 percent from the 1,751 recorded in October. Inventory was down 3 percent to 9,094 units listed for sale.

Historical home sales statistics are located at www.maar.org/news-events/market-statistics/.

“The first-time buyer tax credit continued to boost area sales, with November registering the first year-over-year increase we’ve seen in 2009,” said MAAR President Glenn A. Moore. “While the winter months are typically slower, the expanded tax credit for both first-time and qualified existing home owners should help strengthen sales over the next few months.”

www.KarenStephens-RealEstate.com

6767 The Willows Cove: $64,500

This is the perfect package in a 3 bedroom/2bath home. You won’t find a beter one in the area. Totally remodeled since purchasing 2 years ago with new ceiling fans, paint, flooring, AC, appliances, lighting and landscaping.  All you have to do is move in.

www.KarenStephens-RealEstate.com

The decades-long explosion in residential square footage may be coming to an end, says Gopal Ahluwalia, the National Association of Home Builder’s vice president for research. Although the size of the average home has been on the rise, to 2,495 last year from 1,500 square feet in 1973, consumers are beginning to choosse higher quality living spaces over additional square footage, according to Ahluwalia, who spoke at the recent International Builders Show in Orlando, Fla.

Architects, designers, manufacturers, and marketing experts who were asked by NAHB about their expectations for future homes agreed that home size would slip into the 2,300- to 2,500-square-foot range by 2015.

NAHB says that two-story homes will continue to dominate as increasing construction costs drive choices. “As housing prices go up, so too does the share of two-story homes goes up says Ahluwalia, noting that two story construction is less expensive than one story on a square-foot basis. U.S. Census Bureau data shows that 55 percent of the homes built in 2005 had two or more stories.

Demise of the Living Room?

On the chopping block are formal living rooms. Last year, 40 percent of newly constructed homes didn’t have a living room, and 55 percent of the architects, designers, and builders surveyed expect living rooms to vanish from the average home in the next 10 years. Thirty-one percent say it will evolve into a parlor/retreat/library or a music room.

Most likely to capture more square footage in both average and upscale homes is the family room. In upscale homes, 68 percent of those surveyed also expect kitchens to become even larger.

Master bedroom or master suite options are increasing as well, with 63 percent of upscale homes and 13 percent mid-level homes expected to have two master suites by the next decade. Such a configuration not only accommodates guests, but also offers the option having a master bedroom on the first as well as the second floor to give owners more choice and also accommodate aging owners or relatives. The Renewed American Home, one of several show homes at IBS, featured a second-floor master suite and an additional first-floor suite that was a tad smaller.

High Ceilings Dominate

Smaller homes won’t translate into less volume though, and the high ceilings that have characterized new homes in recent years are here to stay. Average homes in the future are expected to have 9- to 10-foot ceilings on the first floor. In luxury homes, 10- to 12-foot ceilings on the first floor will be standard.

— By Camilla McLaughlin for REALTOR Magazine Online

www.KarenStephens-RealEstate.com

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